13th April 2023

T. Rowe Price: China's Reopening: Implications and Impact

We attach a 60% probability to a strong reopening for China in 2023, with gross domestic product growth of 5–6% likely achievable.
China’s sharp reversal of zero-COVID should have the biggest impact on domestic demand. Stimulus policies will be an important element in economic recovery this year.
We think that the positive impact of China’s reopening on the global economy will likely be moderate. It is unlikely to change the global trajectory on its own.

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